comicbookshopper.com Blog

August 19, 2006

“Hot Comics”: Don’t fall for this old collecting trap.

Filed under: Uncategorized — Administrator @ 5:52 pm

It’s a fact that classic marketing techniques have been with us for some time. By “with us,” I mean in the comic back issue market. Dealers have been declaring certain issues as the great get-it-while-you-can for decades. And the fact is, many of us fall for it. Why is that? Well there are a number of good reasons.

1) They’re right. Sometimes an Incredible Hulk #181 or Batman #232 gets identified as having potential for future growth and those who jump on early reap the reward. So, when advertisers say “jump,” why not ask “how high” or “how much?” Well, how about because advertisers and hobby magazines rarely call them right. For every Marvel Spotlight #5 that someone calls attention to when its $20, there’s a dozen flavor-of-the-month variant covers with a quick climb, only to be forgotten five years later.

2) We are too short-sighted. Whereas the sellers see the potential for short term gains. If enough attention can be brought to an Adventurers #1 or Infinite Crisis #1RRP then the sellers know that they can get in and out before the buying public (that’s you and me) can realize that they paid ten times what the book will be worth in five years. Its like listening to stock tips on MSNBC. The names of hot stocks are thrown out in the morning to create a price spike that enable holders to sell at. The audience think they have a winner to hold onto, but instead it crashes at the end of the day. And this is repeated daily. It is like holding a lollipop out for a kid to grab and pulling it away at the last moment. And then doing it ten times in a row so that you can laugh at their gullibility.

3) Buyers can be as greedy as sellers. There is a high liklihood that many of us have bought books that were promised to be hot with the intent to flip them. “If this book is skyrocketing, and it can be found half-way to it apex, then it can be unloaded for double its price.” How many buyers have thought these thoughts? The number is probably countless. Let’s be honest. In the age of eBay, this is what drives much of the back-issue market. “Day Traders” are following the lead of the big boys and getting burned most of the time.

4) Collectors need to believe. We hobbyists are collecting comics for a multitude of reasons. One of which is the belief that a comic bought now will continue to go up in value. Without this feeling of potential growth – the market loses a lot of its steam. Many of us are aware that Bob Overstreet has a system in place in which certain sectors of the market receive 2-20% increases annually. Critics find no basis for most of these gains, since they run contrary to the law of supply and demand. But where would the average collector be if a 1990 price guide were the same as the 2005 edition? Ultimately, the “Hot Comic” is a reminder that there is a dimension to collecting that focuses on return on investment.

Currently, Wizard Magazine is the central figure in the comic-hype machine. If one were to look at their picks that urge readers to “find it cheap…for now” it would be clear that those issues rarely have the staying power that would make them worth our while. Recently, at the Wizard Philly show, I looked through a box labeled (yup, you guessed it) “Hot Comics.” None of which were priced. I handed him a stack and waited for his asking price. He wanted $9 bucks each – firm. I handed them back to him, because it was easy to turn down books that will be available for half that price soon enough. So, next time you’re reading a Spider-man or Batman from the 80s and 90’s and you see an ad for New England Comics and Mile High announcing which comics are “Red Hot” take a second to reflect on how the old trap is still out there.

July 24, 2006

Craigslist.com – The next step in Comic Collecting evolution

Filed under: Uncategorized — Administrator @ 3:48 pm

So, you’re waiting for the next Comic Convention in your area. And you’ve been outbid time and time again on eBay auctions. To make matters worse, your Local Comics Shop (LCS) is slow to restock back issues!

Meanwhile you’ve got a wantlist as long as your arm and your favorite hobby is stalled.

What do you do? Do what I do. Check Craigslist.

It’s as easy as:

Step 1. Go to http://www.craigslist.org

Step 2. Look at the right hand column > find your home state and the closest city or town

Step 3. On the left there will be a “search craiglist” box > select “for sale” in the drop down choices > type “comic” in the box

Step 4. Scan through the results for people selling collections > look for garage sales and people who say that they are trying to get rid of a large collection

That’s it! This method has been panning out over and over again. Recently, there were two sellers with silimar circumstances. There was a death of someone close and each person just happened to be collecting comics for the last twenty years. The sellers knew that the collections meant a lot to their brother/friend, but they didn’t know what to do with the 20/50 boxes of comics that was sitting in their house. So, they put word out on craigslist and it was first come, first served. We will not say what was found at these sales, you can use your imagination to fuel your own hopes should you try this method. But it can be said that the price paid was pennies-on-the-dollar for hundreds of Very High Grade (in some cases very hard to find) comics.

Surely, it need not be said, but just a reminder not to try to rip off little old ladies. If the seller has an NM Amazing Fantasy #15 and says, “I have no idea what this is worth” there is a course of action that may work. Tell him or her that the book(s) is worth a lot of money and that you can’t afford that price and make an offer. You are not under any obligation to quote the going price, because unless you are a retailer-type professional or sitting in front of the results of every sale in the last year, that answer will not be fair to either of you. Just invite the person to do their research and let you know if they accept your offer.

In both cases mentioned above, the sellers were computer savvy and had already researched the collections enough to know that they should just try to unload the whole thing rather than do more research.

This tried and true method has been great for adding to the collection and where did the inspiration come from? From Chuck Rozanski over at Mile High Comics. In his “Tales from the Database” column he spells out the basics:

How To Invest In Comics

Buying Comics In Bulk

Good Luck!!!

July 21, 2006

Forget Wizard and San Diego… go native!

Filed under: Uncategorized — Administrator @ 1:52 pm

As the summer continues to heat up, so too does the comic convention season. In June, we were able to catch the last day of WizardWorld Philly and this month, luckily, the Atlanta Comic Convention. For those who are convention goers – you know the drill. Show up at a large convention (Any of the Wizard shows and San Diego especially) and prepare for the media onslaught that follows. Video games, dancing Storm Troopers and Kevin Smith doing his best “Where’s Waldo.”

At the smaller conventions, however, the tone can be very different. Those lucky enough to have a regional Con, that has been organized by local retailers or hobbyists, may be in for a treat. While some out there may have shows that constantly showcase the same tired sellers with the same tired stock, that is not always the case. The Atlanta Comic Convention is the perfect example of it done right. Those who show up for this seasonal event see a lot of familiar faces, but that isn’t all there is. They have a list of alternates who fill in when designated sellers drop out. This guarantees a fresh atmosphere from time to time. And I doubt that any of the dealers are not out getting new stock for the next show in-between dates.

By all means attend the San Diego Comic-Con International this weekend. Meet and support some up-and-coming artists and production houses, see your favorite stars and shop for the hottest back-issues. Just don’t forget that we have to bring that enthusiasm home to keep the hobby alive. To do that, I encourage those who don’t attend regular shows to visit

http://www.comicbookconventions.com/conventions.htm

and find out if there is a local show coming soon. And remember, take a friend!

June 17, 2006

Amazing Adventures #11 vs. G.I. Joe #21

Filed under: Uncategorized — Administrator @ 6:06 am

High Grade Bronze vs. High Grade Copper
Amazing Adventures #11 vs. G.I. Joe #21

This entry has been adapted from a discussion that took place on the Personal Investments board at the Lyria Comic Exchange:

Another thing to consider about Amazing Adventures #11 is where it scores on the Risk Factor with scarcity in HG. CGC census only has 1 in 9.8, 15 in 9.6 and 26 in 9.4. If it continues to elude the 9.8 collector’s then it will join the list of books that become key due to certain challenge (in this case – a black cover).

Yeah, I was thinking about Joe21 when I wrote that, but strangely, that book falls into a different category. For the last 6-12 months there a a big push on the CGC boards to find the elusive 9.8 Joe21. There was even a pretty hefty bounty out for it: something like $1000-1500.

So, you can see that reflected in the census currently. There’s the 1 in 9.8. And that is followed by the 30 in 9.6, 39 in 9.4 and 29 in 9.2 that people scored in trying to see if they had the winning ticket.

Not only is this a newer book than AA #11, but people realized its value early on. AA #11 had years to deteriorate, before collectors started to search for HG copies. They do have similarities, such as being a black cover that easily shows damage and minor character intros (1st Furry Beast and 1st Stormshadow).

I’m confident that they will be much more prominent as keys as the years drag on (read: 20-30 years from now), but for now, the numbers of graded copies will create some drag.

May 26, 2006

Silly Prediction Time

Filed under: Uncategorized — Administrator @ 4:39 pm

The following was originally seen on the Lyria Comic Exchange Forum:

I predict the next comic boom (defined by a sharp increase in across the board prices) to take place around 2012.

I’m burying this in a thread rather than starting a new one, because I know that I’ll be taking all of this back sooner than later.

How I arrived at this:

1) We’re settling down from our most recent boom that took place from 2001-2005. So, I automatically figured there would be a 2-4 year relaxing or even bust/bear period.

2) There were quite a few investors who used Home Equity loans to do many things – buying comics was one of them. Now that the housing market is cooling we may see fewer borrowed dollars going into the hobby.

3) The Fed is losing its shyness for raising interst rates. Some see this as an early reaction to increasing inflation. If rates and inflation continue to rise it may be 5-10 years before middle and upper-class incomes reflect this. Once that happens, higher price tags on collectibles will not seem as shocking, Dealers will feel more comfortable increasing those price points and Copper Age books will be reaching an age of maturity that very well may be the catalyst for the upswing.

Mind you I’m not an economist (I did very poorly in my Econ classes in school) and I’m pretty much going on a gut feeling and a couple days worth of business news. But who knows, it may do us well to reflect on the implications of the possibility. Foremost would be the justification for increased investment in the near-term (2006-2011) for those interested in recouping in that timeframe. Personally, my strategy is to sell about 20-25 years from now, so this would tell me to lay of buying during that bull period.

The last thing that I have to say is – be on the look out for two conditions that confound my theory of even speed up the process. Those would be the creation of a new technology or a new market sector. Both happened in the guise of 3rd party grading 5 years ago and ushering in the most recent price spike. A new technology could be improved restoration techniques or preservation supplies. A new sector could appear in the form of hotly collected writers and artists or the entry of collectors who were previously uninterested in our brand of collectibles (manga readers or people who bought TPBs from Barnes and Noble).

That’s all that I’ve got for now – please let me know where I’ve miscalculated.
visit Comic Book Shopper: www.comicbookshopper.com

May 25, 2006

Where are graded comics going?

Filed under: Uncategorized — Administrator @ 6:55 pm

Well, its been a while since my last post. As it turns out, there were comments made over at lyriacomicexchange.com that touched on my previous subject of CGC-graded comics. Someone noticed that there have been decreasing sales for some sectors of that market. While High Grade Gold and Silver keys may be doing well, the overall boom my be retracting.

Does this have anything to do with Wizard and their dealings with CGC? I think it may. After all it is common for Wizard to tout products like graded books, only to have them follow the classic bell curve-over-time. Now, there hasn’t been any major research into this as yet, but anecdotal evidence is surfacing all the time. It will be interesting to see what course graded comics travel over the next decade.

April 13, 2006

Don’t Believe The Hype

Filed under: Uncategorized — Administrator @ 2:47 pm

Frequent readers of Wizard: The Comics Magazine may have noticed by now that what they are buying is more entertainment that critical analysis of the comic book industry. I was just looking through the April 2006 issue and came upon a piece that inspired me to write this entry. On page 65 there is an ad for Wizard World LA, in which attendees are urged to pick up some “hot” comics to have graded by Comics Guaranty LLC (CGC). The writer conveniently includes a top ten list of books that fit the bill.

The sidebar begins with the introduction: “Looking to keep your comics as an investment? Get’em graded by the fine folks at CGC (Comics Guaranty LLC) while you’re at Wizard World Los Angeles! Not sure what you should be on the lookout for? We’ve whipped up this handy-dandy list of 10 hot comics you’ll wanna keep your eyes peeled for!” They then go on to list the following issues:
1) Infinite Crisis #1 RRP Edition
2) Ultimate Extinction #1 WWLA Sketch Edition
3) Ultimate Wolverine VS. Hulk #1 1:50 Variant
4) All-Star Batman and Robin #1 Special Edition
5) Soulfire #6 WWLA VIP Edition
6) NYX#3
7) Werewolf By Night #32
8) DC Comics Present #87
9) Wolverine (Limited Series) #1
10) Cyberforce #1 WWLA VIP Edition

Now, there are a couple of points that one can take away from this. One being, that Wizard and CGC seem to work really well together. The questionable nature of the investment potential of a few of their picks is worth a look. And whether any of this affects the way that we look at the publisher, their price guides and all of their content will all be discussed in the coming days and weeks.

April 3, 2006

Love comics? – Invest in their future…

Filed under: Uncategorized — Administrator @ 9:33 pm

I think that there are quite a few of us who are worried (at least concerned) about the future of comic book collecting. I don’t think collectors as a species will die out, but I can see our numbers dwindling to the point where no one will want to buy the piles of comics that we’ve accumulated.

How do I propose we remedy this? Actually, a way that is not too unique. There are quite a few initiatives going already that are attemting to coax new readers into the fold. The hope being, that those new readers will start buying on a regular basis. Free comic book day, 10-cent, 25-cent, 50-cent and dollar issues as well as regional newspapers including a gratis copy to coincide with an event movie like Spider-man or X-men.

The thing about these attempts, which I believe to be affective, is that they bring in readers. Mainly of new comics. I love the ideas and the result, but I don’t think it does that much to help the collectors. Why? Because a kid who is starting to read comics now is a long way off from being the middle-aged adult who will track down those same issues out of a sense of nagging nostalgia.

What we have to do is create a generation of teens and twenty-somethings who love the stories that cover the entire history of comics. Therefore, I propose that all interested collectors pull their trade paper backs (TPBs) off of their shelves and start handing them out to some key prospects. If you see an open, curious mind – put a TPB in their hand. The greater the story, the better. You want to hook’em with an epic and then feed them with quality. I won’t even begin to list TPBs here, better than I have compiled some of the best collections made and maybe we’ll leave the floor open to suggestions.

Start seeding the plot with young people (boys AND girls) who love the tales we love and we’ll reap a harvest of adults willing to buy the originals once they realize their value. Get to it!

March 30, 2006

Welcome to the TradePaperBlog: Official weblog of the Comic Book Shopper

Filed under: Uncategorized — Administrator @ 10:39 pm

Whether it was the Simpsons episode when Bart and his friends bought a copy of Radioactive Man #1 or if your grandfather has a stash of Spider-man comics from the 60s – however you discovered comic book collecting – it has brought you here.

I have high hopes for Comic Book Shopper and the TradePaperBlog. I’m planning to hit you guys with some good facts and analysis of the the Comic Book market as it happens. Now, I realize that I won’t be able to touch on everything and that I’ll be wrong 80% of the time, but that’s where you come in. Everyone within earshot of this blog is encouraged to chime in and tell me what’s on your mind.

I plan to focus on the back issue market almost exclusively, but I imagine new stories, original art, movies, eBay, grading, conventions, and every other topic that affects the hobby will creep in here. So again, welcome and thanks for visiting.

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